gopfan2

0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817 View on Polymarket

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Follow in paper

Paper trading fills against the live order book with pessimistic assumptions and no money involved.

Why this score

Profitable in 3 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
Up in 37 of 39 active weeks.
Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 1% of the capital the wallet shows.
500 closed positions in the latest 500.

Account value: $250k
7 days: +$1.4k
30 days: +$151k
All time: +$1.6M
Profit per $ staked: +18.1%
Worst drawdown: 1%
Win rate: 80%
Markets traded: 301

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

Dec 25Oct 26

Open positions

Market	Side	Entry	Mark	Value	Unrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.2589	0.8635	$68k	+$48k
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	0.2993	0.325	$30k	+$2.3k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.1722	0.0915	$17k	−$15k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0301	0.0445	$13k	+$4.4k
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	0.6762	0.715	$13k	+$696
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	0.9399	0.9605	$12k	+$251
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	0.1658	0.655	$10k	+$7.8k
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.6793	0.725	$8.0k	+$506
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	0.6082	0.935	$6.2k	+$2.2k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0238	0.1035	$5.9k	+$4.5k
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	0.7199	0.735	$5.4k	+$111
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	0.1694	0.565	$4.9k	+$3.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	0.5439	0.945	$4.7k	+$2.0k
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	0.729	0.915	$4.7k	+$960
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.3952	0.645	$4.1k	+$1.6k
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	0.66	0.959	$3.6k	+$1.1k
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	0.8486	0.9685	$3.5k	+$436
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	0.6469	0.95	$3.3k	+$1.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	0.62	0.9615	$2.8k	+$994
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	0.5999	0.805	$2.6k	+$656
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	0.3918	0.645	$2.4k	+$937
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	0.9455	0.987	$2.2k	+$91.6
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	0.78	0.935	$1.8k	+$305
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	0.6299	0.635	$1.7k	+$13.5
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	0.6315	0.9595	$1.6k	+$544
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	0.2088	0.16	$1.4k	−$416
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	0.74	0.9625	$1.2k	+$267
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.8	0.915	$1.1k	+$139
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	0.8981	0.975	$1.0k	+$81.8
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	0.86	0.89	$967	+$32.6
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	0.8	0.958	$862	+$142
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	0.5145	0.405	$859	−$232
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	0.66	0.855	$855	+$195
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	0.71	0.873	$825	+$154
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.74	0.961	$785	+$181
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	0.949	0.994	$785	+$35.5
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.51	0.615	$773	+$132
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	0.1143	0.2	$576	+$247
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	0.78	0.9735	$516	+$103
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	0.37	0.915	$467	+$278
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	0.81	0.977	$461	+$78.8
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.6397	0.9605	$347	+$116
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	0.4953	0.365	$316	−$113
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	0.5933	0.575	$282	−$8.99
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	0.5	0.94	$242	+$113
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.5975	0.575	$239	−$9.39
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	0.553	0.9065	$200	+$77.9
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?	No	0.728	0.9	$187	+$35.8
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	0.0464	0.1605	$163	+$116
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	0.12	0.325	$156	+$98.4

Recent activity

When	Market	Action	Size	Price	Profit
17 h ago	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Closed Yes	5532.82	0.4923	+$42.4
8 d ago	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed Yes	9999.85	0.0312	−$283
8 d ago	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed No	10000	0.925	+$437
8 d ago	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed Yes	9999.85	0.0312	−$303
8 d ago	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed Yes	9999.85	0.0312	−$262
8 d ago	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed Yes	9999.85	0.0312	−$293
8 d ago	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed Yes	9999.85	0.0312	−$303
9 d ago	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Closed Yes	9999.85	0.0312	−$284
9 d ago	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Closed Yes	19146.4	0.9518	+$921
9 d ago	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Closed Yes	34737.8	0.3261	+$10.0k
22 d ago	Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	1499.99	0.0224	−$0.64
22 d ago	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed No	580.56	0.9859	+$4.70
22 d ago	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	1499.99	0.0224	−$29.1
22 d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	836507	0.7697	+$141k
22 d ago	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	1499.99	0.0224	−$22.9
22 d ago	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed No	1499.99	0.74	$0.00
22 d ago	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	1499.99	0.0224	+$70.0
22 d ago	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	1499.99	0.0224	−$26.7
22 d ago	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Closed Yes	1499.99	0.0224	−$14.4
27 d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Closed Yes	39999.9	0.88	+$4.8k
27 d ago	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Closed No	69948	0.5189	+$1.7k
27 d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Closed No	24422.9	0.88	+$2.9k
29 d ago	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Closed No	3045000	0.5	$0.00
29 d ago	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Closed Yes	3045000	0.5	$0.00
42 d ago	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	Closed Yes	258	0.8313	+$43.5

Profiled 6 h ago from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.