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Polymarket traders

elmcap2

0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5 View on Polymarket

58

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Why this score

  • Profitable in 2 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
  • Up in 12 of 17 active weeks.
  • Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 1% of the capital the wallet shows.
  • 500 closed positions in the latest 500.
Account value
$6.7M
7 days
−$5.7k
30 days
+$57k
All time
+$2.1M
Profit per $ staked
+0.6%
Worst drawdown
1%
Win rate
90%
Markets traded
337

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

Jun 26Oct 26

Open positions

MarketSideEntryMarkValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No0.50.7785$3.7M+$1.3M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.50.2215$1.1M−$1.3M
Trump out as President before 2027?No0.92470.9615$327k+$13k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No0.95820.9615$237k+$794
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No0.88480.9775$195k+$18k
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes0.96530.9895$194k+$4.7k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No0.98650.9895$190k+$574
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No0.96750.9725$140k+$711
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No0.91420.9745$120k+$7.4k
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No0.96280.9715$72k+$644
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No0.96990.9775$44k+$338
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No0.90640.9735$41k+$2.8k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No0.87690.935$32k+$2.0k
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No0.98920.9995$26k+$265
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No0.89920.974$22k+$1.7k
GTA VI released by October 31?No0.98320.9955$21k+$263
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No0.88950.855$21k−$848
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No0.93980.9505$18k+$199
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No0.56420.915$16k+$6.0k
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No0.99230.9955$14k+$43.5
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No0.92510.9635$14k+$541
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No0.90420.979$12k+$910
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No0.94290.9635$12k+$254
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No0.85570.91$11k+$656
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No0.9830.989$10k+$63.0
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No0.93490.965$8.8k+$273
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No0.91660.9655$8.7k+$440
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No0.91880.967$8.1k+$405
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No0.97160.993$5.9k+$128
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes0.89450.889$5.4k−$33.7
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No0.920.9705$5.4k+$283
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No0.8460.905$4.5k+$295
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0.860.8635$4.3k+$17.5
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No0.85540.969$3.9k+$456
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No0.91490.9765$3.7k+$234
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No0.93890.956$3.3k+$59.7
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No0.92940.96$2.9k+$92.6
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?No0.87770.89$2.8k+$38.7
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No0.92990.969$2.4k+$97.7
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No0.92910.935$2.4k+$15.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes0.49490.155$2.3k−$5.1k
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No0.93220.97$2.2k+$87.2
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No0.86150.9725$2.0k+$232
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No0.90330.975$2.0k+$143
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No0.92490.969$1.9k+$88.0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No0.9010.9765$1.9k+$149
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No0.86570.938$1.9k+$148
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No0.94020.9725$1.9k+$63.5
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No0.94730.965$1.8k+$33.1
Will Trump resign before 2027?No0.9680.975$1.8k+$12.9

Recent activity

WhenMarketActionSizePriceProfit
2 d agoUFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)Closed Leon Shahbazyan7499.960.57−$4.3k
2 d agoUFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)Closed Matheus Camilo75000.6515−$4.9k
3 d agoUFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Closed Brendan Allen4978.530.8929+$533
3 d agoUFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)Closed Christian Leroy Duncan7500.360.4979−$2.0k
3 d agoUFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)Closed Andre Fili75000.58+$3.1k
3 d agoUFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Closed Alice Pereira7499.990.5723+$3.2k
3 d agoUFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Closed Ernesta Kareckaite7499.90.47+$225
4 d agoUFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)Closed Ateba Gautier7499.90.68−$5.1k
4 d agoUFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)Closed Alden Coria4999.960.43−$2.1k
9 d agoFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Closed Pacquiao29168.90.49+$292
9 d agoFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Closed Mayweather38398.70.49+$384
10 d agoUFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)Closed Payton Talbott7499.750.85+$1.1k
10 d agoUFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)Closed Roberto Soldic7499.980.68+$2.4k
10 d agoUFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)Closed Damian Pinas7499.870.82+$1.3k
10 d agoUFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)Closed Anthony Wint75000.8+$1.5k
10 d agoUFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)Closed Johnny Walker7499.890.5143+$3.6k
10 d agoUFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)Closed Jacobe Smith7499.80.8867+$849
10 d agoUFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Closed Ismail Naurdiev7499.840.55+$3.4k
10 d agoUFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)Closed Eric Nolan7494.660.6908+$2.3k
11 d agoWill Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Closed No50.99+$0.05
11 d agoWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Closed No10000.96+$20.0
12 d agoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Closed No200000.999+$19.5
12 d agoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Closed No8027.530.9978+$17.1
12 d agoWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Closed No15567.60.9953+$72.5
13 d agoWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Closed No1326.370.992+$10.6

Profiled 6 h ago from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.