wan123

0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b View on Polymarket

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Follow in paper

Paper trading fills against the live order book with pessimistic assumptions and no money involved.

Why this score

Profitable in 3 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
Up in 28 of 31 active weeks.
Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 7% of the capital the wallet shows.
263 closed positions in the latest 500.

Account value: $1.3M
7 days: +$181k
30 days: +$151k
All time: +$1.2M
Profit per $ staked: +45.5%
Worst drawdown: 7%
Win rate: 79%
Markets traded: 147

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

Feb 26Oct 26

Open positions

Market	Side	Entry	Mark	Value	Unrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	0.6843	0.685	$226k	+$205
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	0.5905	0.645	$177k	+$15k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	0.9392	0.9635	$123k	+$3.1k
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	0.6289	0.755	$106k	+$18k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	0.4145	0.463	$89k	+$9.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	0.4131	0.945	$81k	+$46k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	0.0971	0.145	$40k	+$13k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	0.5226	0.465	$38k	−$4.7k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	0.5032	0.9605	$34k	+$16k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.3738	0.4875	$32k	+$7.4k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	0.1108	0.0585	$32k	−$28k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	0.2799	0.285	$28k	+$501
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	0.55	0.875	$28k	+$11k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	0.4138	0.615	$21k	+$7.0k
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	0.6937	0.625	$21k	−$2.3k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	0.7063	0.835	$21k	+$3.2k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	0.4599	0.635	$19k	+$5.3k
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	0.2971	0.275	$16k	−$1.2k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	0.4541	0.405	$14k	−$1.7k
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	0.2173	0.265	$12k	+$2.1k
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	0.8399	0.845	$11k	+$63.8
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	0.4599	0.635	$10k	+$2.8k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	0.4099	0.535	$9.5k	+$2.2k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	0.4309	0.4305	$8.8k	−$10.2
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	0.5869	0.9985	$8.3k	+$3.4k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	0.6599	0.805	$7.8k	+$1.4k
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	0.7426	0.745	$6.8k	+$21.7
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	0.7255	0.7655	$6.3k	+$331
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	0.2453	0.211	$5.1k	−$831
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.5196	0.595	$4.3k	+$549
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	0.4899	0.545	$3.9k	+$394
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	0.7165	0.895	$3.4k	+$672
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.2819	0.285	$3.0k	+$32.4
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	0.7946	0.895	$1.5k	+$172
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.72	0.735	$1.5k	+$29.9
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	0.6586	0.968	$1.4k	+$440
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	0.22	0.135	$1.3k	−$850
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.5299	0.195	$1.3k	−$2.3k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	0.2347	0.123	$1.3k	−$1.2k
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	0.4103	0.105	$1.1k	−$3.1k
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	0.4663	0.53	$1.0k	+$123
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	0.2938	0.877	$964	+$641
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	0.4948	0.71	$961	+$291
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	No	0.8123	0.895	$948	+$87.6
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	0.2306	0.045	$642	−$2.7k
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	Yes	0.93	0.9325	$613	+$1.64
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	0.51	0.575	$585	+$66.2
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	0.8138	0.9735	$575	+$94.2
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.1497	0.105	$531	−$226
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	0.73	0.941	$530	+$119

Recent activity

When	Market	Action	Size	Price	Profit
15 h ago	Bills vs. Rams	Closed Bills	50000	0.1025	+$45k
15 h ago	Bills vs. Rams	Closed Rams	73682.1	0.3383	−$25k
2 d ago	Ravens vs. Falcons	Closed Ravens	51110	0.3453	+$33k
2 d ago	Ravens vs. Falcons	Closed Falcons	56240.7	0.1691	−$9.5k
2 d ago	Browns vs. Jets	Closed Browns	24368.6	0.0908	−$2.2k
2 d ago	Browns vs. Jets	Closed Jets	50000	0.5773	+$21k
2 d ago	Bears vs. Packers	Closed Packers	50000	0.4874	+$26k
2 d ago	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Closed Patriots	50000	0.5075	+$25k
2 d ago	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Closed Jaguars	36182.4	0.499	+$18k
2 d ago	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Closed Eagles	40875.5	0.1848	−$7.6k
5 d ago	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Closed Cowboys	111068	0.1703	−$19k
5 d ago	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Closed Buccaneers	126760	0.2123	+$100k
9 d ago	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Closed Yes	49999.9	0.38	+$31k
9 d ago	Spread: Vikings (-10.5)	Closed Dolphins	50000	0.54	+$23k
9 d ago	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Closed Chiefs	27696.6	0.87	+$3.6k
9 d ago	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Closed Raiders	150415	0.3267	−$49k
9 d ago	Broncos vs. 49ers	Closed Broncos	45350.2	0.2445	−$11k
9 d ago	Broncos vs. 49ers	Closed 49ers	76257.5	0.6278	+$28k
9 d ago	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Closed Patriots	50000	0.48	+$26k
9 d ago	Spread: Ravens (-10.5)	Closed Titans	37897.9	0.48	+$20k
9 d ago	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Closed Jaguars	50000	0.44	+$28k
9 d ago	Rams vs. Eagles	Closed Rams	52648	0.3191	+$36k
9 d ago	Cardinals vs. Giants	Closed Giants	50000	0.45	+$28k
9 d ago	Patriots vs. Bills	Closed Patriots	100000	0.27	+$73k
9 d ago	Patriots vs. Bills	Closed Bills	19527.1	0.1596	−$3.1k

Profiled 5 h ago from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.