Kickstand7
0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5 View on Polymarket
This wallet can’t be copied in a way that would reproduce its results.
- Inactive No trades in 30 days, or the account has been emptied. There is nothing to copy right now.
Follow in paper
Paper trading fills against the live order book with pessimistic assumptions and no money involved. This wallet is marked as not copyable; a paper follow will show you why.
Why this score
- Profitable in 2 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
- Up in 47 of 64 active weeks.
- Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 33% of the capital the wallet shows.
- 500 closed positions in the latest 500.
- Account value
- $401k
- 7 days
- +$658
- 30 days
- −$1.4k
- All time
- +$1.5M
- Profit per $ staked
- +3.1%
- Worst drawdown
- 33%
- Win rate
- 60%
- Markets traded
- 306
Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions
Open positions
| Market | Side | Entry | Mark | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.5 | 0.7785 | $292k | +$105k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.5 | 0.2215 | $83k | −$105k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.3493 | 0.961 | $20k | +$13k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 0.2096 | 0.095 | $2.0k | −$2.4k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 0.2069 | 0.095 | $1.5k | −$1.8k |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.4777 | 0.855 | $1.1k | +$490 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.5 | 0.5125 | $317 | +$7.74 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.5 | 0.4875 | $302 | −$7.74 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 0.8 | 0.966 | $22.2 | +$3.82 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.2115 | 0.0015 | $0.01 | −$2.10 |
Recent activity
| When | Market | Action | Size | Price | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 d ago | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Closed No | 216275 | 0.0714 | −$12k |
| 76 d ago | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Closed Yes | 233256 | 0.8918 | +$21k |
| 79 d ago | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Closed No | 5000 | 0.479 | −$37.4 |
| 92 d ago | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Closed No | 5000 | 0.6605 | −$181 |
| 92 d ago | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Closed Yes | 6049.74 | 0.0482 | +$975 |
| 99 d ago | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Closed No | 167575 | 0.9134 | +$14k |
| 99 d ago | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Closed Yes | 151211 | 0.9491 | +$7.2k |
| 108 d ago | Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | Closed No | 136 | 0.5944 | +$55.2 |
| 118 d ago | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Closed Yes | 47568 | 0.2946 | +$27k |
| 118 d ago | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Closed Yes | 88849.1 | 0.7384 | +$15k |
| 121 d ago | Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | Closed Yes | 10511.9 | 0.0276 | +$5.0k |
| 121 d ago | Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | Closed No | 10516.5 | 0.7855 | −$3.0k |
| 121 d ago | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Closed Yes | 402179 | 0.9819 | −$103k |
| 121 d ago | Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | Closed No | 32536.6 | 0.6313 | +$7.6k |
| 121 d ago | Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery | Closed Menery | 5471.31 | 0.2131 | −$384 |
| 121 d ago | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Closed Yes | 84512 | 0.9933 | +$392 |
| 121 d ago | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Closed No | 388732 | 0.0328 | +$123k |
| 121 d ago | Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery | Closed Manziel | 200 | 0.52 | +$96.0 |
| 121 d ago | Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | Closed No | 894.649 | 0.3569 | +$575 |
| 121 d ago | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Closed Yes | 80064.4 | 0.1307 | +$10k |
| 121 d ago | Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5) | Closed Duke Blue Devils | 2489.08 | 0.5222 | +$1.2k |
| 121 d ago | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Closed Yes | 101750 | 0.9788 | +$2.2k |
| 121 d ago | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Closed Yes | 296.06 | 0.4287 | +$169 |
| 121 d ago | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Closed No | 44702.7 | 0.9794 | +$918 |
| 123 d ago | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Closed Yes | 8573.57 | 0.1042 | −$411 |
Profiled 29 min ago from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.