lava-lava
0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a View on Polymarket
Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.
Follow in paper
Paper trading fills against the live order book with pessimistic assumptions and no money involved.
Why this score
- Profitable in 3 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
- Up in 4 of 6 active weeks.
- Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 36% of the capital the wallet shows.
- 500 closed positions in the latest 500.
- Account value
- $84k
- 7 days
- +$132k
- 30 days
- +$47k
- All time
- +$1.0M
- Profit per $ staked
- +4%
- Worst drawdown
- 36%
- Win rate
- 38%
- Markets traded
- 164
Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions
Open positions
Recent activity
| When | Market | Action | Size | Price | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 d ago | Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Closed Yes | 197.21 | 0.1465 | +$69.6 |
| 3 d ago | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Closed Yes | 5680.22 | 0.6298 | +$689 |
| 3 d ago | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | Closed No | 46 | 0.8113 | +$8.68 |
| 3 d ago | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Closed Yes | 209.79 | 0.015 | −$3.15 |
| 3 d ago | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Closed No | 4755.83 | 0.0154 | −$73.5 |
| 3 d ago | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 4-7%? | Closed Yes | 324.886 | 0.1334 | −$43.3 |
| 3 d ago | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%? | Closed Yes | 571.136 | 0.12 | −$68.5 |
| 3 d ago | Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? | Closed Under | 2345.95 | 0.4477 | +$60.6 |
| 3 d ago | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP? | Closed MP | 429 | 0.3894 | −$167 |
| 3 d ago | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or KD? | Closed KD | 277.348 | 0.4149 | −$115 |
| 3 d ago | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? | Closed KD | 36.5221 | 0.3965 | +$22.0 |
| 3 d ago | Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%? | Closed Under | 1982.94 | 0.3356 | −$666 |
| 3 d ago | Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | Closed Yes | 31.69 | 0.65 | −$18.5 |
| 3 d ago | Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | Closed No | 17.74 | 0.51 | +$8.69 |
| 3 d ago | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Closed No | 356.5 | 0.9 | +$35.6 |
| 3 d ago | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Closed No | 11321.8 | 0.4075 | −$4.6k |
| 3 d ago | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Closed Yes | 9120.71 | 0.4904 | −$4.5k |
| 3 d ago | Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Closed No | 526 | 0.969 | +$16.3 |
| 3 d ago | Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Closed Yes | 526.1 | 0.0068 | −$3.62 |
| 3 d ago | Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Closed Yes | 1612.78 | 0.1257 | −$203 |
| 3 d ago | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Closed No | 2393.3 | 0.362 | −$866 |
| 3 d ago | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Closed No | 2503.69 | 0.3166 | −$257 |
| 3 d ago | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Closed Yes | 2546.58 | 0.9795 | +$19.5 |
| 3 d ago | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Closed Yes | 2555 | 0.3208 | −$820 |
| 3 d ago | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Closed No | 163.245 | 0.51 | +$80.0 |
Profiled 6 h ago from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.