aenews2

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1 View on Polymarket

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Follow in paper

Paper trading fills against the live order book with pessimistic assumptions and no money involved.

Why this score

Profitable in 2 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
Up in 17 of 20 active weeks.
Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 11% of the capital the wallet shows.
500 closed positions in the latest 500.

Account value: $1.3M
7 days: −$141k
30 days: +$128k
All time: +$2.2M
Profit per $ staked: +5.2%
Worst drawdown: 11%
Win rate: 80%
Markets traded: 239

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

Jun 26Oct 26

Open positions

Market	Side	Entry	Mark	Value	Unrealised
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	0.7415	0.835	$1.2M	+$132k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	0.2219	0.265	$23k	+$3.7k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	0.1255	0.059	$22k	−$25k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	0.4175	0.4625	$14k	+$1.4k
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	0.7324	0.855	$12k	+$1.7k
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.25	0.265	$6.6k	+$375
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	0.5141	0.715	$6.0k	+$1.7k
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	0.285	0.275	$5.2k	−$191
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	0.9456	0.9405	$4.8k	−$26.2
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	0.1483	0.07	$4.3k	−$4.8k
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	0.3486	0.235	$2.1k	−$999
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	0.0668	0.0475	$1.8k	−$717
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	0.2199	0.235	$1.7k	+$109
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	0.9318	0.9725	$1.5k	+$62.5
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	0.404	0.105	$1.3k	−$3.7k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	0.2368	0.045	$1.3k	−$5.6k
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	0.5675	0.235	$1.0k	−$1.4k
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.8	0.885	$943	+$90.6
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	0.3375	0.215	$908	−$517
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?	Yes	0.8299	0.8525	$776	+$20.5
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	0.0759	0.037	$614	−$646
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	0.3924	0.075	$479	−$2.0k
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	0.3077	0.225	$418	−$154
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	0.4073	0.095	$414	−$1.4k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	0.3491	0.2845	$381	−$86.6
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	0.3243	0.18	$368	−$295
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	0.6722	0.11	$324	−$1.7k
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	0.0818	0.025	$305	−$694
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	0.3433	0.885	$266	+$163
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	0.2231	0.035	$209	−$1.1k
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	0.1684	0.255	$202	+$68.7
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Yes	0.1994	0.08	$197	−$293
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	0.1311	0.065	$195	−$199
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?	Yes	0.1579	0.195	$173	+$32.8
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	0.2984	0.17	$170	−$128
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	0.2345	0.008	$135	−$3.8k
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	0.8	0.885	$123	+$11.8
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	0.41	0.465	$122	+$14.4
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	No	0.8783	0.585	$121	−$60.7
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?	No	0.9588	0.9475	$118	−$1.42
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	0.1837	0.031	$116	−$572
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	0.0837	0.034	$113	−$166
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	0.287	0.17	$109	−$74.8
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	0.1684	0.07	$105	−$148
X banned in any European country by December 31?	Yes	0.2961	0.12	$92.8	−$136
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	0.1248	0.034	$90.9	−$243
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	0.2036	0.1	$86.6	−$89.8
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	0.4441	0.235	$85.7	−$76.3
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	0.2865	0.095	$77.5	−$156
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	0.26	0.115	$76.6	−$96.5

Recent activity

When	Market	Action	Size	Price	Profit
2 h ago	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	Closed Yes	250.1	0.6729	+$81.8
2 h ago	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	Closed Yes	50	0.5199	+$24.0
6 h ago	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?	Closed Yes	100	0.81	+$19.0
6 h ago	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	Closed Yes	826.7	0.5985	+$332
15 h ago	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Closed No	5	0.81	−$1.52
3 d ago	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Closed Yes	0	0.1362	+$52k
4 d ago	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Closed Yes	805.67	0.3436	+$529
4 d ago	Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed Yes	25634.7	0.014	+$25k
4 d ago	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed No	25849.9	0.8076	+$3.4k
4 d ago	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed Yes	54.31	0.0145	+$19.2
4 d ago	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed Yes	25634.7	0.0141	+$12k
4 d ago	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed No	32000	0.9941	−$13k
4 d ago	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed No	7737.93	0.7784	+$2.0k
4 d ago	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed Yes	74001.3	0.0238	−$10k
4 d ago	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed No	58800.5	0.787	−$3.3k
4 d ago	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Closed No	121910	0.9933	+$483
5 d ago	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Closed No	4056.02	0.1186	+$1.1k
5 d ago	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Closed Yes	1647.38	0.544	+$19.3
5 d ago	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Closed Yes	3133.3	0.8319	+$101
5 d ago	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	Closed Yes	5097.32	0.9918	+$41.4
6 d ago	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?	Closed Yes	165	0.9645	+$5.85
6 d ago	Will David Liu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Closed No	739.13	0.9865	+$9.94
6 d ago	Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Closed No	68.7	0.9839	+$1.10
6 d ago	Will Makoto Fujita win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	Closed No	202	0.9981	+$0.36
7 d ago	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Closed Yes	8528.2	0.829	+$1.4k

Profiled just now from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.