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debased

0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1 View on Polymarket

31

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Why this score

  • Profitable in 3 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
  • Up in 12 of 21 active weeks.
  • Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 90% of the capital the wallet shows.
  • 500 closed positions in the latest 500.
Account value
$684k
7 days
+$2.3k
30 days
+$20k
All time
+$1.3M
Profit per $ staked
−0.8%
Worst drawdown
90%
Win rate
41%
Markets traded
154

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

May 26Oct 26

Open positions

MarketSideEntryMarkValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No0.50.5125$251k+$6.1k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.50.4875$239k−$6.1k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No0.99490.9945$33k−$16.6
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No0.82140.945$26k+$3.3k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No0.94430.9635$21k+$424
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0.8380.8635$13k+$380
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No0.910.945$10k+$377
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No0.10130.095$9.9k−$661
Plague pandemic in 2026?No0.9510.9785$8.7k+$244
New pandemic in 2026?No0.87570.955$7.4k+$617
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No0.96260.9845$6.6k+$147
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No0.89990.905$4.7k+$26.2
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No0.93210.9775$4.0k+$187
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No0.710.685$3.8k−$139
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0.13720.125$3.6k−$354
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No0.95770.9745$3.3k+$56.3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes0.44640.795$3.2k+$1.4k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes0.08480.095$2.5k+$264
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes0.08990.205$1.8k+$1.0k
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No0.94730.9935$1.8k+$83.8
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No0.51010.3815$1.8k−$603
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes0.10510.095$1.8k−$188
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No0.91990.965$1.6k+$75.2
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No0.89510.961$1.4k+$93.8
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.00730.003$1.3k−$1.9k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes0.05970.032$1.3k−$1.1k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes0.7790.795$1.2k+$24.8
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No0.650.755$1.2k+$163
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo0.9870.9895$1.1k+$2.78
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No0.75940.915$1.0k+$176
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No0.5520.463$1.0k−$198
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No0.580.82$911+$267
Iran leadership change by December 31?No0.70490.885$856+$174
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No0.81460.9735$821+$134
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes0.0690.0585$815−$147
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No0.69990.925$795+$193
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.06460.0305$792−$887
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes0.09710.095$739−$16.6
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes0.60.615$683+$16.7
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No0.73130.845$670+$90.1
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No0.54610.88$637+$242
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.0650.1425$633+$344
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes0.28680.3025$579+$29.9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No0.770.775$467+$3.01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No0.27270.123$430−$523
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No0.50990.935$415+$189
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes0.34550.065$410−$1.8k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes0.26330.465$373+$162
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes0.20.285$321+$95.7
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes0.89020.9605$271+$19.8

Recent activity

WhenMarketActionSizePriceProfit
4 d agoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed Yes2220.186+$22.4
4 d agoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed Yes2940.003−$0.88
4 d agoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No436.3640.989+$4.80
5 d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Closed Yes133330.3193+$2.4k
6 d agoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Closed No1054240.8499−$16k
8 d agoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Closed No910070.1619+$49k
8 d agoWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Closed Yes38575.70.0312−$1.2k
8 d agoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Closed No5562.780.1148+$2.1k
11 d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Closed No29011.50.1513+$1.8k
13 d agoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Closed Yes44440.033−$42.2
13 d agoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Closed No8341.140.9873+$106
13 d agoWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Closed No5554.960.5572+$1.9k
15 d ago2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseClosed No9998.830.55+$1.6k
17 d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Closed Yes111110.2492−$2.7k
19 d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Closed No111110.997$0.00
22 d agoWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Closed No12276.50.4698+$3.5k
22 d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed Yes68584.80.9823−$25k
22 d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed No69223.40.011+$37k
22 d agoWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed No60102.40.9688−$12k
22 d agoWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed Yes30036.50.014+$14k
22 d agoWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed No11110.977−$530
22 d agoWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed No154.2860.993+$1.08
22 d agoWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed Yes10604.50.0294−$312
24 d agoWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Closed No1220.990.901−$173
24 d agoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Closed No4564.680.9369−$1.9k

Profiled 6 h ago from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.