Paper
Engineno signal
Hyperliquidno link
Polymarketno link
Exposure—
Actions left—

Polymarket traders

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA

0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e View on Polymarket

60

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Why this score

  • Profitable in 2 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
  • Up in 25 of 30 active weeks.
  • Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 21% of the capital the wallet shows.
  • 500 closed positions in the latest 500.
Account value
$1.3M
7 days
−$6.8k
30 days
+$24k
All time
+$1.8M
Profit per $ staked
+9.9%
Worst drawdown
21%
Win rate
61%
Markets traded
140

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

Mar 26Oct 26

Open positions

MarketSideEntryMarkValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No0.86650.855$406k−$5.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No0.94940.9905$260k+$11k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No0.96770.9905$248k+$5.7k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No0.90880.935$87k+$2.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No0.59270.855$65k+$20k
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No0.92430.935$50k+$565
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No0.96090.955$23k−$145
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No0.95650.995$22k+$863
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No0.92260.982$19k+$1.2k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No0.80920.955$17k+$2.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No0.93120.935$13k+$52.3
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No0.90850.935$11k+$309
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No0.88660.941$10k+$593
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No0.86990.88$9.0k+$102
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes0.36850.415$8.9k+$993
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0135$8.2k+$4.5k
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No0.93550.9865$7.2k+$375
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0.86670.864$6.9k−$22.0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0105$6.6k+$2.7k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No0.85110.865$4.6k+$74.2
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0065$4.1k+$250
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No0.95910.9695$4.0k+$42.7
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0055$3.4k−$374
Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?No0.880.895$2.7k+$44.8
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No0.85990.915$1.8k+$106
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.00640.0025$1.6k−$2.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?No0.97590.9875$1.6k+$18.2
Senate control favorite on November 2?Democratic Party0.90990.9835$1.5k+$113
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.00660.0025$1.1k−$1.8k
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.00640.0015$962−$3.2k
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.00640.0015$944−$3.1k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes0.48590.7155$934+$300
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No0.90990.989$690+$55.1
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?No0.880.895$668+$11.2
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.00660.0015$661−$2.3k
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.00660.0015$661−$2.3k
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00590.0015$636−$1.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?No0.94990.9855$550+$19.8
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No0.97390.9905$509+$8.52
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No0.80990.78$452−$17.4
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No0.35990.405$414+$46.0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes0.22990.235$346+$7.36
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.00640.0005$321−$3.8k
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.00640.0005$321−$3.8k
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0005$312−$3.5k
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0005$312−$3.5k
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0005$312−$3.5k
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0005$312−$3.5k
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0005$312−$3.5k
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.00610.0005$312−$3.5k

Recent activity

WhenMarketActionSizePriceProfit
2 d agoWill Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Closed Yes5657670.0064−$2.4k
4 d agoWill Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed Yes1230610.0141+$121k
4 d agoWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No11121.10.9903−$5.4k
4 d agoWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No4599.190.959−$15.8
4 d agoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed Yes118010.0141−$92.6
4 d agoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No2768270.9941+$973
4 d agoWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No14904.90.989−$1.5k
7 d agoWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No9.580.986−$4.66
7 d agoWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Closed Yes5657670.0064+$1.1k
7 d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Closed No3431860.9959+$21k
7 d agoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Closed No200000.981+$371
8 d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Closed No96428.10.997+$289
9 d agoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Closed No2311.670.9932+$15.6
9 d agoWill Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Closed No300000.999+$30.0
9 d agoWill Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Closed No1221.570.999+$1.21
9 d agoWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Closed No2540.750.999+$2.48
9 d agoWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Closed No8009.90.999+$7.94
9 d agoWill Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Closed No13910.999+$1.38
9 d agoWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Closed No1331.920.999+$1.32
13 d agoWill Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?Closed No88.860.94+$5.33
13 d agoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Closed No56847.50.9929+$1.6k
13 d agoTrump out as President by September 30?Closed No500000.998+$50.0
13 d agoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Closed No89.890.98+$1.80
13 d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Closed No37278.70.9523+$1.7k
13 d agoFetterman out by September 30, 2026?Closed No20951.20.9856+$253

Profiled just now from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.