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scottilicious

0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e View on Polymarket

56

Nothing structural stops this wallet from being copied. Whether it should be is your call.

Why this score

  • Profitable in 1 of 3 windows (week, month, all time).
  • Up in 47 of 52 active weeks.
  • Worst fall in cumulative realised profit: 21% of the capital the wallet shows.
  • 500 closed positions in the latest 500.
Account value
$895k
7 days
−$16k
30 days
−$43k
All time
+$1.5M
Profit per $ staked
+3.8%
Worst drawdown
21%
Win rate
85%
Markets traded
319

Cumulative realised profit, latest 500 positions

Oct 25Oct 26

Open positions

MarketSideEntryMarkValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes0.8450.905$271k+$18k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo0.9110.905$74k−$498
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes0.76280.735$70k−$2.6k
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No0.96020.9775$60k+$1.1k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes0.57450.5375$59k−$4.1k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No0.95090.9835$54k+$1.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No0.94390.9905$43k+$2.0k
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes0.79270.805$34k+$520
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No0.86120.865$30k+$132
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes0.71880.78$20k+$1.5k
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes0.61990.635$15k+$347
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No0.95540.989$14k+$475
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes0.88990.905$13k+$219
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No0.96830.9905$13k+$285
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes0.92990.9575$12k+$354
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes0.85870.925$10.0k+$714
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No0.79670.92$8.6k+$1.1k
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes0.78760.805$8.4k+$180
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No0.63990.645$7.4k+$57.5
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes0.69220.961$7.0k+$1.9k
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes0.24990.205$6.6k−$1.4k
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No0.65960.905$6.4k+$1.7k
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No0.83680.8665$5.9k+$202
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes0.87460.7885$5.6k−$617
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes0.91990.865$4.8k−$304
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No0.910.865$4.3k−$225
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0.04610.0345$4.2k−$1.4k
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes0.88470.885$4.0k+$1.02
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.01940.0305$3.7k+$1.3k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes0.30.175$3.5k−$2.5k
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes0.92350.9525$2.6k+$78.8
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes0.91990.949$2.5k+$77.6
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes0.83890.885$2.4k+$126
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No0.72990.735$2.2k+$15.1
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes0.71960.235$1.9k−$3.9k
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0.47590.255$1.8k−$1.5k
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes0.83670.845$1.6k+$15.3
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes0.90750.885$1.4k−$35.4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.180.0915$1.2k−$1.2k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes0.2530.17$1.1k−$517
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No0.80.966$833+$143
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No0.79990.805$777+$4.84
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.02460.0335$697+$184
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0.640.135$675−$2.5k
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.02650.0245$586−$49.3
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.01460.0025$181−$880
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes0.940.0505$71.7−$1.3k
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes0.06720.055$67.5−$15.0
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0.00090.0005$50.0−$49.9
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes0.530.285$26.2−$22.5

Recent activity

WhenMarketActionSizePriceProfit
4 d agoWill Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Closed No18340.9592+$74.7
4 d agoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Closed No800000.9901+$785
7 d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Closed No36491.20.95+$1.8k
8 d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Closed No31304.80.9679+$560
8 d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Closed No1298640.9664+$4.3k
9 d agoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Closed No29792.70.9697+$901
22 d agoUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Closed No5000.73+$110
22 d agoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Closed Yes2498240.9548+$11k
23 d agoWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Closed No16355.70.973+$442
23 d agoWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Closed Yes2719.910.366+$47.1
27 d agoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Closed Yes108370.2651−$882
27 d agoWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Closed Yes180000.803−$910
32 d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Closed No10478.80.5495+$919
32 d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Closed No52323.70.9425+$1.7k
33 d agoLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Closed Yes8493.320.989+$93.4
34 d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Closed No26094.70.9386+$1.6k
36 d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Closed No1219540.961+$4.8k
38 d agoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Closed No11528.70.6164+$844
42 d agoNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Closed No38441.50.6756+$9.5k
43 d agoIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Closed No7262.710.87+$944
43 d agoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Closed No455000.9652+$1.6k
43 d agoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Closed No2464000.9645+$8.7k
43 d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Closed No10970.70.9811+$207
43 d agoWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?Closed No9999.990.9782+$217
43 d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Closed No69660.50.9922+$543

Profiled just now from public Polymarket data. Statistics, not advice.